Evaluation of mucosal status in the follow-up of pediatric patients with celiac disease: the role of serology

Abstract

Recent guidelines suggest non-biopsy serology-based approach for the diagnosis of celiac disease; however, there is no evidence-based data regarding noninvasive follow-up of mucosal healing. The aim of this study is to investigate the efficacy of serology in reflecting mucosal status in the follow-up of pediatric patients with celiac disease. This is a validation study conducted at a university hospital. Patients who had biopsy proven celiac disease (Marsh III) at diagnosis, and had been followed-up for at least 12 months, were prospectively evaluated with duodenal biopsies. tTG-IgA and EMA tests were performed on the day of endoscopy. One hundred four patients with a mean age of 7.4 +/- 4.02 years were included in the study. The sensitivity and specificity of tTG-IgA were 85.2% and 61% respectively, with a high negative predictive value (NPV) of 92.2% but a very low positive predictive value (PPV) of 43.4%. We found that a cutoff value of 68.5 U/mL for tTG-IgA had a sensitivity, specificity of 85.2% and 85.7% respectively. The AUC was 0.891. The sensitivity and specificity of EMA was 77.8% and 87% respectively, with a high NPV of 91.8% but low PPV of 67.7%.